Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.35% | 23.67% | 40.98% |
Both teams to score 62.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.53% | 39.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.19% | 61.81% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.68% | 22.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.21% | 55.79% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% | 19.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.48% | 51.52% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.22% Total : 40.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |