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Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 23, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Victory
5 - 4
Western Sydney

Folami (14', 45+3'), Roux (28'), Ryan (63'), Butterfield (73')
McManaman (55'), Gestede (56'), Kruse (76'), Acton (90+6')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Troisi (31'), Dorrans (76' pen.), Duke (86'), Muller (88')
McGowan (45+2'), Ziegler (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
27.35%23.81%48.84%
Both teams to score 57.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.22%43.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83%66.17%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58%29.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58%65.42%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95%18.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05%48.95%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 27.35%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 48.84%
    Draw 23.8%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 6.8%
1-0 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 3.97%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 27.35%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-1 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.78%
1-3 @ 5.43%
0-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.33%
0-4 @ 1.9%
2-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 48.84%

How you voted: Victory vs Western Sydney

Melbourne Victory
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Western Sydney Wanderers
52.4%
42
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2021 8.05am
Gameweek 6
Western Sydney
2-0
Victory
Dorrans (72' pen.), Yeboah (88')
Dorrans (22')

Gestede (68'), Kirdar (77')
Aug 12, 2020 11.10am
Gameweek 27
Western Sydney
2-1
Victory
Schwegler (34'), O'Doherty (62')
Jurman (20'), Cordier (22'), Schwegler (30')
Nabbout (66')
Lawrie-Lattanzio (32'), Anderson (49')
Oct 18, 2019 9.30am
Gameweek 2
Victory
1-2
Western Sydney
Toivonen (72' pen.)
Broxham (21'), Deng (21'), Donachie (68'), Athiu (92')
Baccus (54'), Meier (62')
Sullivan (31'), Adam (49')
Apr 27, 2019 10.50am
Gameweek 27
Western Sydney
0-1
Victory

Bonevacia (77'), Gallifuoco (83'), Baumjohann (88')
Toivonen (22')
Deng (27'), Niedermeier (28'), Baena (46')
Jan 5, 2019 8.50am
Gameweek 11
Western Sydney
1-2
Victory
Baumjohann (74' pen.)
Riera (77')
Toivonen (45', 86')
Roux (48'), Valeri (63')
rhs 2.0
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