Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Mar 26, 2021 at 8.05am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City4 - 1Western Sydney
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 50.2% | 22.43% | 27.36% |
| Both teams to score 62.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
