Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
63.81% | 19.66% | 16.54% |
Both teams to score 56.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.65% | 38.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.37% | 60.63% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.6% | 11.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.85% | 36.15% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.62% | 36.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.84% | 73.16% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 7.16% 3-0 @ 7.08% 4-1 @ 3.89% 4-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-2 @ 1.97% 5-1 @ 1.69% 5-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 4.22% Total : 63.81% | 1-1 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 5% 0-0 @ 4.15% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 4.6% 0-1 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.69% 1-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.38% Total : 16.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |