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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Apr 4, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
Sydney FC

Victory
0 - 3
Sydney FC


Kamsoba (14')
Kamsoba (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bobo (42'), Barbarouses (50'), Baumjohann (84' pen.)
McGowan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
22.2%23.27%54.53%
Both teams to score 54.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8%46.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5%68.5%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99%35.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25%71.76%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17%16.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17%46.83%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 22.2%
    Sydney FC 54.53%
    Draw 23.27%
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
1-0 @ 6.19%
2-1 @ 5.78%
2-0 @ 3.25%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 22.2%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-2 @ 9.36%
1-3 @ 5.83%
0-3 @ 5.56%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.6%
0-4 @ 2.48%
2-4 @ 1.36%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54.53%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 22
Victory
1-4
Sydney FC
Rojas (5')
Rojas (56'), Gallifuoco (57'), Nabbout (60')
Hoogland (85')
Ninkovic (43'), Caceres (64'), Le Fondre (66'), Barbarouses (87' pen.)
Barbarouses (78')
Jan 24, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 16
Victory
0-3
Sydney FC

Broxham (19'), Kruse (35'), Basha (76')
Broxham (94')
Le Fondre (27'), Barbarouses (53'), Baumjohann (85')
McGowan (7'), Brattan (63')
Baumjohann (94')
Nov 17, 2019 7.30am
Gameweek 6
Sydney FC
2-1
Victory
Le Fondre (61'), Barbarouses (68')
Baumjohann (35'), Retre (52')
Toivonen (45')
Basha (75')
May 12, 2019 10am
Semi-finals
Sydney FC
6-1
Victory
Calver (3'), Brosque (43'), Broxham (45' og.), Le Fondre (63' pen., 68'), Ninkovic (88')
Grant (32')
Toivonen (91')
Barbarouses (56')
Apr 6, 2019 9.50am
Gameweek 24
Sydney FC
2-1
Victory
O'Neill (6'), Ninkovic (93')
Calver (75')
rhs 2.0
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