Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Adelaide United |
41.82% ( -0.31) | 22.4% ( -0.2) | 35.79% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 67.47% ( 0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.01% ( 1.14) | 32.99% ( -1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.29% ( 1.3) | 54.71% ( -1.3) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.45% ( 0.34) | 16.55% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.68% ( 0.61) | 46.32% ( -0.61) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.84% ( 0.77) | 19.15% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.19% ( 1.25) | 50.81% ( -1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.56% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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