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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 27, 2022 at 9.15am UK
Coopers Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Adelaide United
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets


Lopez (28'), Irankunda (66'), Barr (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sotirio (25')
Sotirio (47'), Duncan (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 3-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 17 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 3-0 Newcastle Jets
Wednesday, December 21 at 8am in Australian A-League

We said: Adelaide United 2-0 Newcastle Jets

Adelaide will be looking to quickly bounce back following their disappointing performance at Wellington Phoenix last time out. They have enjoyed a fine run of results on home turf this season and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the Jets on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
57.52% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08) 21.8% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 20.68% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.77% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)41.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)63.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)14.21% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.05% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)41.94% (0.052 0.05)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.049999999999997 0.05)33.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.056999999999999 0.06)70.48% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 57.52%
    Newcastle Jets 20.68%
    Draw 21.79%
Adelaide UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 20.68%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets

Adelaide United
81.5%
Draw
14.8%
Newcastle Jets
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 8.15am
Adelaide United
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Blackwood (3'), Toure (88')
Kitto (15'), Juande (37'), Irankunda (78'), Toure (89')
Thurgate (65')
Jan 30, 2022 7.45am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Adelaide United
Mikeltadze (59')
Thurgate (87')
Irankunda (88'), Ibusuki (90+1')
Juande (15'), Lopez (22'), Tratt (28'), Toure (29'), Ibusuki (80'), D'Arrigo (90+4')
Mar 21, 2021 7.40am
Newcastle Jets
1-4
Adelaide United
Stamatelopoulos (69')
Ugarkovic (35'), Krasniqi (49'), Boogaard (51'), Najjarine (71')
Yengi (5'), Mauk (11'), Halloran (40'), Goodwin (43' pen.)
Yengi (74')
Mar 5, 2021 8.35am
Mar 15, 2020 7.20am
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