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Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Mar 13, 2022 at 8.15am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
Newcastle Jets

Adelaide United
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Blackwood (3'), Toure (88')
Kitto (15'), Juande (37'), Irankunda (78'), Toure (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thurgate (65')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Newcastle Jets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
43.54%24.09%32.37%
Both teams to score 59.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67%42.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27%64.73%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35%19.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38%51.61%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65%25.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86%60.13%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 43.54%
    Newcastle Jets 32.37%
    Draw 24.09%
Adelaide UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-1 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.37%

Head to Head
Jan 30, 2022 7.45am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Adelaide United
Mikeltadze (59')
Thurgate (87')
Irankunda (88'), Ibusuki (90+1')
Juande (15'), Lopez (22'), Tratt (28'), Toure (29'), Ibusuki (80'), D'Arrigo (90+4')
Mar 21, 2021 7.40am
Newcastle Jets
1-4
Adelaide United
Stamatelopoulos (69')
Ugarkovic (35'), Krasniqi (49'), Boogaard (51'), Najjarine (71')
Yengi (5'), Mauk (11'), Halloran (40'), Goodwin (43' pen.)
Yengi (74')
Mar 5, 2021 8.35am
Mar 15, 2020 7.20am
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