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Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Mar 13, 2022 at 8.15am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
Newcastle Jets

Adelaide United
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Blackwood (3'), Toure (88')
Kitto (15'), Juande (37'), Irankunda (78'), Toure (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thurgate (65')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

Last Six:
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, May 22 at 5.05am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

Last Six:
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
43.54%24.09%32.37%
Both teams to score 59.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67%42.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27%64.73%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35%19.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38%51.61%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65%25.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86%60.13%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 43.54%
    Newcastle Jets 32.37%
    Draw 24.09%
Adelaide UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-1 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.37%

Head to Head
Jan 30, 2022 7.45am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Adelaide United
Mikeltadze (59')
Thurgate (87')
Irankunda (88'), Ibusuki (90+1')
Juande (15'), Lopez (22'), Tratt (28'), Toure (29'), Ibusuki (80'), D'Arrigo (90+4')
Mar 21, 2021 7.40am
Newcastle Jets
1-4
Adelaide United
Stamatelopoulos (69')
Ugarkovic (35'), Krasniqi (49'), Boogaard (51'), Najjarine (71')
Yengi (5'), Mauk (11'), Halloran (40'), Goodwin (43' pen.)
Yengi (74')
Mar 5, 2021 8.35am
Adelaide United
2-1
Newcastle Jets
D'Arrigo (6'), Goodwin (77')
Halloran (17'), Mauk (81')
O'Toole (22')
Abbas (25')
Mar 15, 2020 7.20am
Adelaide United
0-3
Newcastle Jets

Boland (30'), Jakobsen (60')
O'Donovan (41'), Millar (51'), Ugarkovic (54')
Burns (14'), Boogaard (53')
Dec 8, 2019 7am
Adelaide United
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Blackwood (30'), Troisi (83')
Millar (48')
rhs 2.0
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