Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Mar 13, 2022 at 8.15am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
Adelaide United2 - 1Newcastle Jets
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Newcastle Jets.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, May 22 at 5.05am in Australian A-League
Sunday, May 22 at 5.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adelaide United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 43.54% | 24.09% | 32.37% |
| Both teams to score 59.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
