Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
43.09% (![]() | 22.41% (![]() | 34.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.62% (![]() | 33.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.84% (![]() | 55.16% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.79% (![]() | 16.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.29% (![]() | 45.71% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.05% (![]() | 19.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.89% (![]() | 52.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.63% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.71% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 9.49% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.95% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 7.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.51% 3-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 42 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 33 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Macarthur | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 11 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 48 | -34 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |