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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2024 at 9.15am UK
Coopers Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Adelaide United
1 - 2
Victory

Irankunda (51')
Ansell (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fornaroli (33', 57' pen.)
Miranda (87'), Izzo (90+7')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 3-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, March 3 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-2 Victory
Sunday, March 3 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.29%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
34.78% (0.417 0.42) 22.82% (0.0010000000000012 0) 42.39% (-0.419 -0.42)
Both teams to score 65.56% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.63% (0.104 0.1)35.37% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.6% (0.115 0.12)57.4% (-0.114 -0.11)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.261 0.26)20.73% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (0.408 0.41)53.35% (-0.408 -0.41)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71% (-0.128 -0.13)17.29% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.36% (-0.221 -0.22)47.63% (0.222 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 34.78%
    Melbourne Victory 42.39%
    Draw 22.82%
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 34.78%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.39%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 10
Victory
2-0
Adelaide United
Machach (73'), Fornaroli (90')
Fornaroli (88')

Popovic (62'), Popovic (62'), Lopez (68'), Sanchez (71')
Nov 4, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 3
Victory
1-1
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (28')
Miranda (58'), Marchan (90+1'), Chapman (90+7')
Miranda (63')
Ibusuki (59')
Madanha (22'), Irankunda (79'), Veart (81')
Irankunda (90+6')
Feb 26, 2023 4am
Jan 14, 2023 8.45am
Nov 11, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 6
Adelaide United
3-0
Victory
Ibusuki (37'), Goodwin (86' pen.), Warland (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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