Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.