Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
40.6% (![]() | 25.24% (![]() | 34.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% (![]() | 47.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% (![]() | 69.33% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.96% (![]() | 23.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.14% (![]() | 56.86% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% (![]() | 26.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% (![]() | 61.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
1-0 @ 8.98% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 11.9% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.11% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 42 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 33 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Macarthur | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 11 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 48 | -34 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |