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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Jan 1, 2023 at 4am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Sydney FC

Newcastle Jets
0 - 2
Sydney FC

FT(HT: 0-2)
le Fondre (37'), Mak (41')
Caceres (79'), Caceres (79'), Grant (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Tuesday, December 27 at 9.15am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-3 Macarthur
Saturday, December 24 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Sydney FC

Newcastle Jets have scored the fewest goals in the A-League so far but they will fancy their chances of getting on the scoresheet against the side with the worst defensive record. We are tipping the teams to match each other over the course of the 90 minutes, resulting in a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawSydney FC
25.02% (0.523 0.52) 22.14% (0.102 0.1) 52.83% (-0.626 -0.63)
Both teams to score 61.41% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.95% (0.046999999999997 0.05)38.05% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.68% (0.050999999999995 0.05)60.32% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.431 0.43)28.15% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.543 0.54)63.83% (-0.542 -0.54)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47% (-0.188 -0.19)14.53% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.45% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)42.55% (0.36 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 25.02%
    Sydney FC 52.84%
    Draw 22.14%
Newcastle JetsDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.095 0.09)
1-0 @ 5.18% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.29% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 25.02%
1-1 @ 10% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.2% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.89% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.93% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.99% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.36% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.84%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Sydney FC

Newcastle Jets
59.4%
Draw
15.6%
Sydney FC
25.0%
32
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2022 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
2-0
Sydney FC
Goodwin (41', 43')
Arques Blasco (35'), Mauragis (40'), Elsey (84')

Wilkinson (37'), Retre (60')
Dec 4, 2021 8.45am
Sydney FC
2-2
Newcastle Jets
Le Fondre (9' pen.), Kamsoba (30')
Retre (39'), Warland (65'), Grant (71'), Wood (80')
Yuel (58', 65')
Duncan (8')
May 8, 2021 8.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Sydney FC
O'Donovan (59' pen.)
O'Doherty (46'), Jackson (70')
Boogaard (76' og.)
Baumjohann (77')
Mar 13, 2021 6.05am
rhs 2.0
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