Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

Jan 1, 2023 at 4am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
0 - 2
Sydney FC

FT(HT: 0-2)

le Fondre (37'), Mak (41')
Caceres (79'), Caceres (79'), Grant (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Tuesday, December 27 at 9.15am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 0-3 Macarthur
Saturday, December 24 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Sydney FC

Newcastle Jets have scored the fewest goals in the A-League so far but they will fancy their chances of getting on the scoresheet against the side with the worst defensive record. We are tipping the teams to match each other over the course of the 90 minutes, resulting in a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Sydney FC
25.02% ( 0.52)	22.14% ( 0.1)	52.83% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 61.41% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.95% (

0.05)

38.05% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.68% (

0.05)

60.32% (

-0.05)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

0.43)

28.15% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

0.54)

63.83% (

-0.54)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.47% (

-0.19)

14.53% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.45% (

-0.36)

42.55% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 25.02%

Sydney FC 52.84%

Draw 22.14%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.56% Total : 25.02%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.14%	1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.84%