Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 8, 2023 at 4am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Macarthur2 - 0Newcastle Jets
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-0 Macarthur
Sunday, January 1 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, January 1 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-2 Sydney FC
Sunday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League
Sunday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League
We said: Macarthur 1-1 Newcastle Jets
With Macarthur and Newcastle Jets battling it out for a place in the A-League Finals, we can see both sides ultimately cancelling each other in a tightly-contested affair at the Campbelltown Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
42.01% ( -0.83) | 25.41% ( 0.27) | 32.58% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 55.49% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
