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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 28, 2023 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Perth Glory

Wellington
2 - 2
Perth Glory

Zawada (11'), Barbarouses (20')
Zawada (16')
Payne (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Williams (22', 80')
Duncan (35'), Burke-Gilroy (64'), Dowse (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Central Coast
Sunday, January 22 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-1 Victory
Saturday, January 21 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

We said: Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Perth Glory

Perth Glory head into this match with a lot of confidence due to their recent results and that should lead to them providing a real test on Saturday. Unfortunately, their dismal away form is something that instantly makes Wellington Phoenix the favourites to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawPerth Glory
50.93% (0.28299999999999 0.28) 24.16% (-0.177 -0.18) 24.91% (-0.105 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.37% (0.461 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.66399999999999 0.66)47.31% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (0.613 0.61)69.53% (-0.611 -0.61)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.366 0.37)18.59% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13% (0.613 0.61)49.87% (-0.612 -0.61)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.268 0.27)33.21% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.293 0.29)69.82% (-0.292 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 50.92%
    Perth Glory 24.91%
    Draw 24.16%
Wellington PhoenixDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Wellington vs Perth Glory

Wellington Phoenix
68.4%
Draw
21.1%
Perth Glory
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 11.30am
Apr 13, 2022 10.05am
Perth Glory
0-1
Wellington

Clisby (56')
Sandoval (48')
Pennington (58')
Mar 26, 2022 6.05am
Wellington
2-1
Perth Glory
Waine (37'), Pennington (90+7')
Fenton (89')
Fitzgerald (49')
Malik (47'), Timmins (64')
Malik (53')
May 30, 2021 4.35am
Wellington
2-2
Perth Glory
Hemed (25'), Sotirio (80')
Fenton (78'), Devlin (90+5')
Fornaroli (61'), Timmins (74')
Lachman (52'), Timmins (65'), Aspropotamitis (82'), Fornaroli (89'), Castro (90+1')
Apr 18, 2021 11.15am
Perth Glory
1-3
Wellington
Chianese (58')
Kato Geria (77')
Waine (56'), Fenton (66'), Sotirio (75')
Taylor (57'), Lewis (82')
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