Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.