Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
50.93% (![]() | 24.16% (![]() | 24.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.69% (![]() | 47.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% (![]() | 69.53% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% (![]() | 18.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% (![]() | 49.87% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% (![]() | 33.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% (![]() | 69.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 10.38% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.63% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 11.45% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |