Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
67.27% ( 0.87) | 17.36% ( -0.13) | 15.37% ( -0.74) |
Both teams to score 62.44% ( -1.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.6% ( -0.93) | 29.39% ( 0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.54% ( -1.13) | 50.45% ( 1.14) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.89% ( -0.06) | 8.11% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.52% ( -0.15) | 28.47% ( 0.15) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% ( -1.46) | 32.05% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.48% ( -1.69) | 68.52% ( 1.69) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 67.27% | 1-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.36% | 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.89% Total : 15.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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