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Adelaide United
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Sydney FC
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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 24, 2023 at 10am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Sydney FC

Brisbane Roar
0 - 2
Sydney FC


Armiento (63'), Aldred (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mak (34'), le Fondre (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, April 16 at 4am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 16 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Sydney FC

 With both teams coming into this fixture in form, it should prove to be competitive. Depending on how other results go, Sydney may be happy with a share of a spoils, but we feel that Brisbane's home advantage may lead to that outcome regardless. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawSydney FC
32.61% (-0.27 -0.27) 25.26% (0.276 0.28) 42.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.99% (-1.04 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (-1.312 -1.31)47.58% (1.309 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-1.224 -1.22)69.78% (1.221 1.22)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.809 -0.81)27.75% (0.805 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (-1.048 -1.05)63.32% (1.045 1.04)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.56899999999999 -0.57)22.5% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.855 -0.86)56.07% (0.851 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 32.61%
    Sydney FC 42.13%
    Draw 25.25%
Brisbane RoarDrawSydney FC
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.254 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.61%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.347 0.35)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.13%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC

Brisbane Roar
39.5%
Draw
23.3%
Sydney FC
37.2%
43
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 6am
gameweek 17
Sydney FC
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Parsons (90+4')
Donachie (79'), Lolley (90+2')
Mileusnic (34')
Courtney-Perkins (63'), Holmes (84'), Knowles (86')
Nov 6, 2022 4am
gameweek 5
Brisbane Roar
3-1
Sydney FC
Austin (6'), Armiento (12'), Brindell-South (72')
Caceres (39')
Brattan (10')
May 10, 2022 10.05am
gameweek 25
Brisbane Roar
3-1
Sydney FC
Parsons (36'), Lescano (40'), Ivanovic (67')
Chapman (23')
Burgess (30')
Buhagiar (56'), Wilkinson (86')
Jan 15, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 10
Sydney FC
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Caceres (34')
King (54')
Mileusnic (40')
Steinmann (8')
Jun 5, 2021 6.05am
gameweek 5
Brisbane Roar
0-2
Sydney FC

Daley (90+3')
Barbarouses (16'), Van Der Saag (90+5')
Warland (66'), Wood (82'), Retre (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC20126239201942
2Western UnitedWestern Utd21115546301638
3Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney20104647341334
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City2010462718934
5Melbourne VictoryVictory219663327633
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United209654340333
7Sydney FCSydney FC2086642311130
8Macarthur218493834428
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets207493034-425
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2141072339-1622
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2055101931-1220
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar1925122338-1511
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2125141448-3411
> Australian A-League Full Table


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