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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 24, 2023 at 10am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Sydney FC

Brisbane Roar
0 - 2
Sydney FC


Armiento (63'), Aldred (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mak (34'), le Fondre (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, April 16 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 16 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Sydney FC

With both teams coming into this fixture in form, it should prove to be competitive. Depending on how other results go, Sydney may be happy with a share of a spoils, but we feel that Brisbane's home advantage may lead to that outcome regardless. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawSydney FC
32.61% (-0.27 -0.27) 25.26% (0.276 0.28) 42.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.99% (-1.04 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (-1.312 -1.31)47.58% (1.309 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-1.224 -1.22)69.78% (1.221 1.22)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.809 -0.81)27.75% (0.805 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (-1.048 -1.05)63.32% (1.045 1.04)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.56899999999999 -0.57)22.5% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.855 -0.86)56.07% (0.851 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 32.61%
    Sydney FC 42.13%
    Draw 25.25%
Brisbane RoarDrawSydney FC
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.254 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.61%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.347 0.35)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.13%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC

Brisbane Roar
39.5%
Draw
23.3%
Sydney FC
37.2%
43
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 6am
gameweek 17
Sydney FC
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Parsons (90+4')
Donachie (79'), Lolley (90+2')
Mileusnic (34')
Courtney-Perkins (63'), Holmes (84'), Knowles (86')
Nov 6, 2022 4am
May 10, 2022 10.05am
gameweek 25
Brisbane Roar
3-1
Sydney FC
Parsons (36'), Lescano (40'), Ivanovic (67')
Chapman (23')
Burgess (30')
Buhagiar (56'), Wilkinson (86')
Jan 15, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 10
Sydney FC
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Caceres (34')
King (54')
Mileusnic (40')
Steinmann (8')
Jun 5, 2021 6.05am
gameweek 5
Brisbane Roar
0-2
Sydney FC

Daley (90+3')
Barbarouses (16'), Van Der Saag (90+5')
Warland (66'), Wood (82'), Retre (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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