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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 28
Jul 21, 2020 at 10.30am UK
Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney
Newcastle Jets

Sydney FC
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Caceres (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fitzgerald (58'), Petratos (90')
Boogaard (70'), Ledley (78')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Newcastle Jets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawNewcastle Jets
50.9%22.69%26.4%
Both teams to score 60.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66%39.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32%61.68%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36%15.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.35%44.64%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2%27.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62%63.38%
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 50.91%
    Newcastle Jets 26.4%
    Draw 22.68%
Sydney FCDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.58%
1-0 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 5.93%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.79%
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 4.35%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-1 @ 5.56%
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.52%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.4%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2020 8.30am
Nov 1, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 4
Sydney FC
4-1
Newcastle Jets
Ninkovic (6'), Le Fondre (42'), Koutroumbis (51' og.), Barbarouses (65')
Millar (9')
Thurgate (29'), Boogaard (74')
Apr 27, 2019 8.35am
Jan 19, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 14
Sydney FC
1-0
Newcastle Jets
Boogaard (44' og.)
Calver (24'), Zullo (29'), Devlin (92')

Hoffman (73')
Nov 10, 2018 8.50am
Gameweek 4
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Sydney FC
Cowburn (87')
Georgievski (53')
Brosque (20')
Brillante (55'), Le Fondre (76'), van der Linden (85')
rhs 2.0
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