Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.