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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Nov 4, 2023 at 4.30am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Wellington
5 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Payne (24'), Zawada (32', 63', 90+2'), Kraev (58')
Kraev (33'), Zawada (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Berenguer (1'), Mileusnic (53')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Sydney FC
Friday, October 27 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
33.86% (0.332 0.33) 24.48% (0.089000000000002 0.09) 41.66% (-0.421 -0.42)
Both teams to score 59.11% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.32 -0.32)43.69% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.315 -0.32)66.08% (0.315 0.31)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.042000000000002 0.04)25.12% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.058 0.06)59.82% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.328 -0.33)21.06% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.13% (-0.515 -0.52)53.87% (0.515 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 33.86%
    Brisbane Roar 41.66%
    Draw 24.48%
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.86%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.045 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.66%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 4am
Gameweek 24
Wellington
2-2
Brisbane Roar
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 6am
Gameweek 12
Brisbane Roar
0-1
Wellington
Zawada (65')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2022 9.05am
Gameweek 22
Brisbane Roar
0-3
Wellington

Ivanovic (17'), Mlinaric (45+1'), O'Shea (72')
Neville (28' og.), Waine (48'), Old (57')
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
Gameweek 18
Brisbane Roar
2-1
Wellington
Lescano (25'), (26'), Daley (57')
Payne (31'), Rufer (36'), Ball (90+4')
Feb 16, 2022 6.25am
Gameweek 8
Wellington
3-0
Brisbane Roar
Wootton (33'), Sandoval (63'), Piscopo (67')
van Hattum (87')

Neville (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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