Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.