Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2023 at 8am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Macarthur0 - 1Wellington
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Macarthur
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-0 Wellington
Friday, April 21 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, April 21 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
38
We said: Macarthur 0-2 Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix do not head into this game in good form, but playing the bottom of the league could be the ideal way to change that as they look to secure their place in the finals series. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
39.83% ( -1.4) | 23.06% ( -0.26) | 37.12% ( 1.66) |
| Both teams to score 65.09% ( 1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.84% ( 1.54) | 36.16% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.73% ( 1.66) | 58.27% ( -1.66) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( 0.04) | 18.7% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.95% ( 0.06) | 50.05% ( -0.06) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( 1.51) | 19.94% ( -1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.91% ( 2.38) | 52.09% ( -2.38) |
| Score Analysis |
Macarthur 39.83%
Wellington Phoenix 37.12%
Draw 23.06%
| Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.48)2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.62% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.21% Total : 37.12% |
How you voted: Macarthur vs Wellington
Macarthur
33.3%Draw
25.0%Wellington Phoenix
41.7%12
Head to Head
Form Guide
