Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 8, 2023 at 8am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
3 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Hore (34'), O'Shea (70' pen.), Scepovic (90+2')
Neville (58'), Trewin (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 4-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-1 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, April 2 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets

Brisbane Roar have struggled throughout the season thus far, particularly going forward, and even against an out-of-sorts Newcastle Jets side, we do not see them having enough to muster a result this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Newcastle Jets
41.71% ( -0.08)	25.34% ( 0.04)	32.95% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.18% (

-0.15)

47.82% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.99% (

-0.14)

70.01% (

0.14)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19% (

-0.1)

22.81% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.47% (

-0.15)

56.53% (

0.15)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35% (

-0.05)

27.65% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-0.06)

63.2% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 41.71%

Newcastle Jets 32.95%

Draw 25.34%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Newcastle Jets
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.71%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.95%