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Wellington Phoenix
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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 14, 2023 at 6am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Brisbane Roar
0 - 1
Wellington


Neville (15')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zawada (65')
Sasse (31'), Mauragis (90+1'), Ball (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Tuesday, January 10 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, January 7 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Wellington Phoenix

 Brisbane Roar have been the draw specialists of the A-League so far this season, and that is something that could continue on Saturday. The visitors will provide a stern test, but considering the Lions have been defensively sound throughout this campaign, a low-scoring draw could be how this one goes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawWellington Phoenix
43.44% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04) 25.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 31.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.37% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)49.39% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (0.025000000000002 0.03)71.44% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)22.66% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (0.045000000000002 0.05)29.7% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (0.055999999999997 0.06)65.75% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 43.44%
    Wellington Phoenix 31.01%
    Draw 25.54%
Brisbane RoarDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.44%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.01%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington

Brisbane Roar
39.1%
Draw
21.7%
Wellington Phoenix
39.1%
23
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2022 9.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-3
Wellington

Ivanovic (17'), Mlinaric (45+1'), O'Shea (72')
Neville (28' og.), Waine (48'), Old (57')
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
2-1
Wellington
Akbari (7'), Hore (76')
Lescano (25'), (26'), Daley (57')
Hooper (72')
Payne (31'), Rufer (36'), Ball (90+4')
Feb 16, 2022 6.25am
Wellington
3-0
Brisbane Roar
Wootton (33'), Sandoval (63'), Piscopo (67')
van Hattum (87')

Neville (77')
May 1, 2021 8.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Wellington

Neville (51')

Devlin (11'), Fenton (46')
Mar 21, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Hemed (42')
McGarry (68'), Payne (80')
Mebrahtu (86')
Gillesphey (5'), Brown (10'), Aldred (90+3')
Gillesphey (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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