Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
34.27% ( -0.19) | 23.23% ( 0) | 42.49% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 63.85% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.45% ( -0.08) | 37.55% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.22% ( -0.09) | 59.78% ( 0.09) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% ( -0.14) | 22% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.68% ( -0.21) | 55.31% ( 0.21) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.86% ( 0.04) | 18.13% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.9% ( 0.07) | 49.1% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 42.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Macarthur | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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