Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Nov 11, 2023 at 4.30am UK
Mars Stadium (Ballarat)
Western Utd0 - 1Newcastle Jets
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, November 4 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Western Sydney
Sunday, November 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Sunday, November 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
39.5% ( 0.24) | 24.63% ( 0.13) | 35.87% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.99% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
