Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
38% ( -0.34) | 25.42% ( -0.18) | 36.57% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.38% ( 0.81) | 47.62% ( -0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.18% ( 0.74) | 69.82% ( -0.74) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% ( 0.18) | 24.62% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.87% ( 0.26) | 59.12% ( -0.26) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.59% ( 0.67) | 25.41% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.78% ( 0.91) | 60.22% ( -0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.72% Total : 36.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Macarthur | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
11 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |