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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 18, 2023 at 6am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Western United

Brisbane Roar
1 - 0
Western Utd

O'Shea (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Doumbia (22'), Diamanti (23'), Risdon (35'), Diamanti (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 12 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-2 Western Utd
Monday, March 13 at 7am in Australian A-League

We said: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Western United

Brisbane Roar have plenty to play for here as they look to avoid finishing bottom this season, but with Western United's recent form the visitors should be able to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawWestern United
38% (-0.345 -0.34) 25.42% (-0.175 -0.18) 36.57% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 56.23% (0.641 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (0.808 0.81)47.62% (-0.812 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (0.743 0.74)69.82% (-0.744 -0.74)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.184 0.18)24.62% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (0.256 0.26)59.12% (-0.259 -0.26)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (0.67 0.67)25.41% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (0.911 0.91)60.22% (-0.91399999999999 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 38.01%
    Western United 36.57%
    Draw 25.42%
Brisbane RoarDrawWestern United
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.01%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.87% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.09 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.061 0.06)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 36.57%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Western Utd

Brisbane Roar
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Western United
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 8.45am
Mar 26, 2022 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
2-3
Western Utd
Lescano (3'), O'Shea (88' pen.)
Hore (50'), Daley (56'), Aldred (82')
Holmes (30')
Bayew (35'), Neville (59' og.), Prijovic (83')
Topor-Stanley (20'), Imai (53'), Wenzel-Halls (67'), Pierias (69')
Dec 11, 2021 6.05am
May 5, 2021 10.05am
Mar 14, 2021 7.40am
rhs 2.0
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