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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 26, 2023 at 6am UK
Mars Stadium (Ballarat)
Adelaide United

Western Utd
1 - 3
Adelaide United

Wales (53')
Lustica (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Halloran (30'), Popovic (56'), Jovanovic (63')
Duzel (69')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 11 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-5 Sydney FC
Saturday, November 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
32.53% (0.275 0.27) 22.81% (0.264 0.26) 44.66% (-0.536 -0.54)
Both teams to score 64.78% (-0.875 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.93% (-1.197 -1.2)36.07% (1.201 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.83% (-1.327 -1.33)58.17% (1.331 1.33)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.419 -0.42)22.26% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3% (-0.636 -0.64)55.7% (0.639 0.64)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (-0.67 -0.67)16.68% (0.673 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.45% (-1.216 -1.22)46.55% (1.22 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Western United 32.53%
    Adelaide United 44.66%
    Draw 22.81%
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 4.19% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.246 0.25)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.217 0.22)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.245 0.25)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.01% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 44.66%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 8am
Gameweek 24
Adelaide United
0-1
Western Utd
Pain (44')
> Match Report
Feb 11, 2023 6am
Gameweek 16
Western Utd
2-3
Adelaide United
Botic (43'), Prijovic (48')
Clough (68'), Kitto (76'), Goodwin (86' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 6am
Gameweek 5
Western Utd
2-4
Adelaide United
Milanovic (53'), Pierias (90+1')
Ibusuki (9'), Goodwin (22'), Lacroix (31' og.), Halloran (79')
May 8, 2022 9.20am
Gameweek 25
Adelaide United
2-1
Western Utd
Lopez (14'), Kitto (51')
Popovic (20'), Gauci (77'), D'Arrigo (90+3')
Wenzel-Halls (5')
Prijovic (41'), Garuccio (90+2')
Dec 17, 2021 8.45am
Gameweek 5
Western Utd
1-0
Adelaide United
Pain (44')
Topor-Stanley (25'), Risdon (49'), Lacroix (53')

Juande (24'), Tratt (62'), Sanchez (65')
rhs 2.0
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