Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 53.06%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
53.06% | 22.13% | 24.81% |
Both teams to score 61.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.78% | 38.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.5% | 60.5% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.49% | 14.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.47% | 42.52% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.6% | 28.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.85% | 64.15% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-0 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 3% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.06% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-1 @ 5.19% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.48% Total : 24.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |