Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for United City had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest United City win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.