AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 27, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadion Surkhon

Nasaf
3 - 1
Al-Faisaly

Lima (47'), Abdirahmatov (50'), Stanojevic (68')
Stanojevic (69'), Mozgovoy (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bani Hani (45+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nasaf and Al-Faisaly.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nasaf

Last Game: Nasaf 1-1 Sharjah
Monday, November 6 at 2pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Faisaly

Last Game: Al-Faisaly 2-0 Al-Sadd
Monday, November 6 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nasaf win with a probability of 43.66%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Al-Faisaly had a probability of 27.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nasaf win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for an Al-Faisaly win it was 0-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nasaf would win this match.

Result
Nasaf	Draw	Al-Faisaly
43.66% ( 0.05)	28.99% ( 0.01)	27.35% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 42.6% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.5% (

-0.07)

63.5% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.17% (

-0.05)

82.83% (

0.05)

Nasaf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

-0.01)

28.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13% (

-0.01)

64.87% (

0.01)

Al-Faisaly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.97% (

-0.09)

40.03% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.32% (

-0.08)

76.67% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Nasaf 43.66%

Al-Faisaly 27.35%

Draw 28.98%

Nasaf	Draw	Al-Faisaly
1-0 @ 14.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 43.66%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.98%	0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.35%