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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
35.79% ( 0.25) | 27.79% ( 0.03) | 36.42% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.56% ( -0.11) | 57.45% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.75% ( -0.09) | 78.25% ( 0.09) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% ( 0.1) | 30.59% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.18% ( 0.12) | 66.82% ( -0.13) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% ( -0.23) | 30.2% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.64% ( -0.28) | 66.36% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.79% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 36 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 33 |
18 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
19 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
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