Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 2pm UK

Botswana
2 - 3
Eq Guinea

Elias (38'), Seakanyeng (66' pen.)
Seakanyeng (7'), Gaolaolwe (61'), Orebonye (86')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Nsue (13'), Ditsele (40' og.), Salvador (51')
Balboa (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Botswana and Equatorial Guinea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.

Result
Botswana	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
19.48% ( 0.06)	25.36% ( 0.04)	55.16% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 44.17% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.63% (

-0.06)

57.37% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.81% (

-0.05)

78.19% (

0.05)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.79% (

0.03)

44.21% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.71% (

0.03)

80.29% (

-0.03)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16% (

-0.06)

20.84% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.48% (

-0.1)

53.52% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Botswana 19.48%

Equatorial Guinea 55.15%

Draw 25.36%

Botswana	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.48%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 14.44% 0-2 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.15%