Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote
Ethiopia0 - 2Tanzania
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-3 Guinea
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Ethiopia 1-1 Tanzania
While Ethiopia have enjoyed the better of this fixture, Tanzania head into the game having been the better side in qualifying, but we believe that the hosts will do just enough to get something from this fixture, which is why we are predicting a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tanzania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Tanzania |
33.91% ( -1.73) | 28.38% ( -0.72) | 37.71% ( 2.44) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( 1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
