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Ethiopia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote
Tanzania national football team

Ethiopia
vs.
Tanzania

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Ethiopia and Tanzania.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-3 Guinea
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Congo DR
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ethiopia win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Tanzania has a probability of 35.01% and a draw has a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Tanzania win is 0-1 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.4%).

Result
EthiopiaDrawTanzania
35.9% (-1.343 -1.34) 29.09% (-0.38 -0.38) 35.01% (1.724 1.72)
Both teams to score 44.61% (1.177 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.85% (1.359 1.36)62.15% (-1.357 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.16% (0.986 0.99)81.85% (-0.985 -0.98)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.157 -0.16)32.92% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-0.178 -0.18)69.5% (0.179 0.18)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (1.909 1.91)33.51% (-1.907 -1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (2.034 2.03)70.14% (-2.031 -2.03)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 35.89%
    Tanzania 35.01%
    Draw 29.09%
EthiopiaDrawTanzania
1-0 @ 12.25% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.415 -0.42)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 13.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.03% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.09%
0-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.351 0.35)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.343 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.257 0.26)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.241 0.24)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 35.01%

Who will win Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ethiopia and Tanzania?

Ethiopia
Draw
Tanzania
Ethiopia
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Tanzania
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Tanzania
0-0
Ethiopia
Gaudence Msindo (67'), Dismas (81')
Wolde Waza (30')
rhs 2.0
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