Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 23, 2023 at 7pm UK

Gabon
1 - 0
Sudan

Palun (71')
Oyono (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hashem (65'), Taifour (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Gabon and Sudan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-3 Gabon
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Sudan

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Madagascar
Monday, January 23 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gabon in this match.

Result
Gabon	Draw	Sudan
52.41% ( 0.08)	28.54% ( 0.03)	19.05% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 36.28% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.61% (

-0.16)

67.39% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.47% (

-0.11)

85.53% (

0.11)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58% (

-0.04)

26.42% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41% (

-0.05)

61.59% (

0.05)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.3% (

-0.22)

50.7% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.87% (

-0.15)

85.14% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Gabon 52.4%

Sudan 19.05%

Draw 28.53%

Gabon	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 17.82% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 52.4%	0-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.08) 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.05%