Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique de Nouakchott

Mauritania
3 - 0
Sudan

Kamara (27' pen., 30'), Mahmoud (77')
Dellahi (19'), Kamara (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Abdelgader (18'), Abdel Rahman (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mauritania and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

Last Six:

Last Game: Gabon 0-0 Mauritania
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Congo DR vs. Mauritania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Sudan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sudan 2-1 Congo DR
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Gabon vs. Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Mauritania could not have asked for a better opponent to start their qualification campaign as they gave an out-of-sorts Sudan side who have failed to win any of their last 15 outings. The hosts head into the game on a run of two consecutive victories and we are backing them to build on that run and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Sudan had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Sudan win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Sudan
47.56% ( -0.06)	25.78% ( -0.01)	26.65% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.9% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.37% (

0.1)

52.63% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.72% (

0.08)

74.27% (

-0.09)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87% (

0.01)

22.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.49% (

0.02)

55.5% (

-0.03)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37% (

0.11)

34.62% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.64% (

0.11)

71.35% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 47.55%

Sudan 26.65%

Draw 25.78%

Mauritania	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.55%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.65%