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Kenya national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
Moi International Sports Centre
Namibia national football team

Kenya
0 - 0
Namibia

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Kenya and Namibia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zimbabwe 1-1 Kenya
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Cameroon
Wednesday, November 13 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Kenya 2-1 Namibia

With seven goals conceded apiece, the teams boast similar defensive numbers heading into this one, but Kenya have had the upper hand at the top end of the pitch, and we are backing them to carry the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 35.91%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 31.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 1-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (13.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood.

Result
KenyaDrawNamibia
32.3% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 31.79% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 35.91% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 37.59% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.66% (0.025000000000002 0.03)70.34% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.55% (0.017000000000001 0.02)87.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.02% (0.067 0.07)39.98% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (0.061 0.06)76.63% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)37.37% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)74.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kenya 32.3%
    Namibia 35.9%
    Draw 31.79%
KenyaDrawNamibia
1-0 @ 13.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.017 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 32.3%
0-0 @ 14.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 13.48%
2-2 @ 3.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 31.79%
0-1 @ 14.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.24% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 35.9%

How you voted: Kenya vs Namibia

Kenya
63.2%
Draw
31.6%
Namibia
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Namibia
1-2
Kenya
Hotto (90+5')
Hambira (20'), Katua (87')
Avire (58'), Abuya (76')
Chris Onyango (15'), Akumu (36'), Avire (68')
Mar 27, 2023 11pm
Jun 8, 2022 2pm
rhs 2.0
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