COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2024 at 11am UK
Wolfson Stadium
Kenya2 - 0Zimbabwe
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Kenya and Zimbabwe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kenya 0-2 Comoros
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Zimbabwe |
34.81% ( -2.01) | 27.18% ( 0.13) | 38.01% ( 1.88) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
