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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Namibia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Zimbabwe national football team

Namibia
0 - 1
Zimbabwe


Katua (24'), Kalula (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Billiat (34' pen.)
Hachiro (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Namibia and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Namibia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Namibia 1-2 Kenya
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Zimbabwe

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zimbabwe 0-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Namibia 1-1 Zimbabwe

 Given that both these sides desperately need a win, and possibly view each other as the most likely route to three points, we could see them throw caution to the wind at points in this match. However, while we do feel there could be at least a couple of goals forthcoming in this contest, we doubt there will be anything to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
NamibiaDrawZimbabwe
48.5% (1.066 1.07) 29.6% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 21.89% (-1.165 -1.17)
Both teams to score 37.1% (-1.237 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.87% (-0.962 -0.96)68.13% (0.959 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.98% (-0.644 -0.64)86.02% (0.64 0.64)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.069999999999993 0.07)28.71% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.086999999999996 0.09)64.54% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.05% (-1.79 -1.79)47.95% (1.786 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.8% (-1.35 -1.35)83.19% (1.347 1.35)
Score Analysis
    Namibia 48.49%
    Zimbabwe 21.88%
    Draw 29.59%
NamibiaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 17.18% (0.64 0.64)
2-0 @ 10.71% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 48.49%
0-0 @ 13.76% (0.48 0.48)
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 2.9% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 29.59%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.303 -0.3)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 21.88%

How you voted: Namibia vs Zimbabwe

Namibia
44.4%
Draw
13.3%
Zimbabwe
42.2%
45
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2021 1pm
Group Stage
Namibia
2-0
Zimbabwe
Amini (70' og.), Kambindu (86')
Fredericks (10'), Kamberipa (52'), Hambira (76')

Nyahwa (81'), M (85')
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