COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Wolfson Stadium
Zambia0 - 2Zimbabwe
Kanguluma (27'), Banda (68')
Kanguluma (33')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tapera (8'), Benhura (43')
Adrian Mutudza (35'), Jalai (36'), Matema Mushore (54')
Adrian Mutudza (35'), Jalai (36'), Matema Mushore (54')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Zimbabwe.
Form, Standings, Stats
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-2 Kenya
Thursday, June 27 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Thursday, June 27 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Zambia | Draw | Zimbabwe |
56.79% ( 0.14) | 24.42% ( -0.06) | 18.79% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 45.64% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.17% ( 0.13) | 54.83% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.87% ( 0.11) | 76.13% ( -0.11) |
Zambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% ( 0.11) | 19.19% ( -0.1) |