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Burkina Faso national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Sierra Leone national football team

Burkina Faso
2 - 2
Sierra Leone

Ouattara (41'), Traore (45+2' pen.)
Yago (43'), Banse (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kargbo (58'), Bakayoko (88')
Kabia (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Burkina Faso and Sierra Leone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Burkina Faso
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-1 Djibouti
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Burkina Faso 2-0 Sierra Leone

Burkina Faso and Sierra Leone head into Monday's clash level on points in Group A and will be looking to get one over the other. The Stallions are a stronger and more experienced side on paper and we are tipping them to come away with the desired results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawSierra Leone
58.55% (-0.247 -0.25) 25.56% (0.177 0.18) 15.89% (0.074 0.07)
Both teams to score 37.99% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.73% (-0.441 -0.44)62.27% (0.441 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.07% (-0.322 -0.32)81.93% (0.325 0.33)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)21.46% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52% (-0.433 -0.43)54.48% (0.435 0.43)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.36% (-0.167 -0.17)51.64% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.23% (-0.11 -0.11)85.77% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 58.54%
    Sierra Leone 15.89%
    Draw 25.55%
Burkina FasoDrawSierra Leone
1-0 @ 17.05% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 58.54%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.07% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 2.87% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 15.89%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Sierra Leone

Burkina Faso
66.7%
Draw
18.2%
Sierra Leone
15.2%
33
rhs 2.0
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