Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 4pm UK

South Africa
2 - 2
Liberia

Foster (11' pen., 22')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hlongwane (68' og.), Sangare (90+1')
Njie (73'), Kamara (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between South Africa and Liberia.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Angola
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	9
2	Ivory Coast	3	3	6
3	South Africa	3	-1	3
4	Namibia	3	-5	0

Liberia

Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 79.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 4.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.82%) and 3-0 (13.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.65%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Liberia
79.75% ( 0.03)	15.3% ( -0.03)	4.95% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 27.58% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.4% (

0.05)

52.6% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.75% (

0.05)

74.25% (

-0.04)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.9% (

0.02)

11.09% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.51% (

0.05)

35.49% (

-0.05)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

31.02% (

-0)

68.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.4% (

-0)

94.59% (

Score Analysis

South Africa 79.73%

Liberia 4.95%

Draw 15.3%

South Africa	Draw	Liberia
2-0 @ 18.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 16.82% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.12% Total : 79.73%	0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 15.3%	0-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 4.95%