Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 4pm UK
South Africa2 - 2Liberia
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between South Africa and Liberia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Angola
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 79.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 4.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.82%) and 3-0 (13.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.65%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
South Africa | Draw | Liberia |
79.75% ( 0.03) | 15.3% ( -0.03) | 4.95% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 27.58% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.4% ( 0.05) | 52.6% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.75% ( 0.05) | 74.25% ( -0.04) |
South Africa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.9% ( 0.02) | 11.09% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.51% ( 0.05) | 35.49% ( -0.05) |
Liberia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
31.02% ( -0) | 68.98% ( 0) |