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Africa Cup of Nations
Togo national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Kegue
Algeria national football team

Togo
0 - 1
Algeria


Agbagno (56'), Atte (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bensebaini (18' pen.)
Ait-Nouri (56'), Guendouz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Togo and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Togo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Togo
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Algeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Togo
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Togo 1-2 Algeria

 Togo were shockingly poor in the last match. In fact, to find the last time they conceded five goals in a match, you would have to go all the way back to a 2009 defeat against Bahrain. That said, we are not suggesting that the hosts are likely to go on to win this match, but we do feel they will keep the scoreline more respectable in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Togo had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.

Result
TogoDrawAlgeria
29.62% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 28.34% (-0.023 -0.02) 42.04% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.41% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.44% (0.055 0.05)60.56% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.34% (0.041 0.04)80.66% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.67%73.32% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (0.057000000000002 0.06)28.44% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79% (0.073 0.07)64.2% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Togo 29.61%
    Algeria 42.03%
    Draw 28.34%
TogoDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.61%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Togo vs Algeria

Togo
10.2%
Draw
16.3%
Algeria
73.5%
49
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Algeria
5-1
Togo
Benrahma (29', 55' pen.), Aouar (68'), Gouiri (86'), El Amine Amoura (90+6')
Boudaoui (90+3')
Klidje (11')
Dakonam (46'), Ouro-Gneni (53'), Romao (74')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2013 6pm
Group Stage
Algeria
0-2
Togo
Adebayor, Wome
> Match Report
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