Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.