Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.