Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orebro win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Helsingborg had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orebro win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Helsingborg win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orebro would win this match.