We said: Barracas Central 1-2 Argentinos Juniors
Both teams have blown hot and cold in recent weeks, and Saturday's contest could easily swing either way. That said, the away side boast a more experienced squad at this level, and we are tipping them to just pip the hosts to all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
-3.93) 
5.7) 
