Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.61%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (12.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.