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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Godoy Cruz
3 - 1
Belgrano

Rodriguez (28'), Abrego (37'), Larrosa (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sanchez (45+1')
Bordagaray (57'), Hesar (86')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Godoy Cruz and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Godoy Cruz
Sunday, March 12 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-0 Lanus
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 38.35%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 29.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.97%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.

Result
Godoy CruzDrawBelgrano
38.35% (-0.148 -0.15) 31.7% (0.055 0.05) 29.95% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 37.34% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.59% (-0.126 -0.13)70.41% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.51% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)87.49% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Godoy Cruz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.22% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)35.78% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45% (-0.172 -0.17)72.55% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.32% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Godoy Cruz 38.34%
    Belgrano 29.95%
    Draw 31.69%
Godoy CruzDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 15.39%
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.89% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.34%
0-0 @ 14.97% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 13.4%
2-2 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 31.69%
0-1 @ 13.04% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 29.95%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2019 7.15pm
Belgrano
1-0
Godoy Cruz
Cuero (77')
Mendoza (11')

Rodriguez (50')
rhs 2.0
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