Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 16, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 0Newell's OB
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Newell's Old Boys.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Always Ready
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-3 Boca Juniors
Saturday, April 6 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 6 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
Result | ||
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
41% ( 0.02) | 28.57% ( 0.02) | 30.43% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.14% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.94% ( -0.08) | 61.06% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.96% ( -0.06) | 81.04% ( 0.06) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.73% ( -0.03) | 29.27% ( 0.03) |