Sarmiento

0 - 1

Newell's OB

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.17%) and 1-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (13.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.